Ed's Blog

UPDATE: Paul Krugman has a view, too, in his latest NY Times column.

ORIGINAL POST FOM YESTERDAY: Last week the nation's largest -- and to date least vulnerable to attack for stupid bank tricks  -- bank, JP Morgan Chase, lost two billion dollars in a very bad derivatives bet it claims was a hedge, not a soon-to-be banned proprietary trade. Now Chase's until-now-Teflon-coated CEO Jamie Dimon faces increased scrutiny over his own and his firm's loud and arrogant opposition to the Volcker rule regulating proprietary trading and additional reforms requiring exchange trading of derivatives -- two Dodd-Frank Wall Street reforms not yet implemented due to the obstinacy of bankers like him that might have prevented the loss. The episode also raises the question: Are the big banks too big to manage?

In her column "At JPMorgan, the Ghost of Dinner Parties Past" today at the New York Times, Gretchen Morgenson interviews professor Michael Greenberger, a reformer who previously worked to rein in risky derivatives trading as a senior official at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), an agency that was given important new authority to put shadowy derivatives deals onto transparent exchanges by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act but has become the whipping boy of U.S. House of Representatives reform opponents whose memory does not seem to include the year 2008. Greenberger tells Morgenson:

“If the trades at issue were proprietary trading, as now appears to be the case, they would be banned by the Volcker Rule,” Mr. Greenberger said. “And if derivatives rules under Dodd-Frank had been in effect, these trades would almost certainly have been required to be cleared [on public exchanges] and transparently executed. The losing nature of the trades, therefore, would have been obvious to market observers and regulators for quite some time and the losses would not have piled up opaquely.” [I added the words [on public exchanges] for clarity to non-geeks].

Morgenson also quotes Chase chief Jamie Dimon from a recent party for high-rollers, where he apparently attacked both former Fed chairman Paul Volcker and Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas president Richard Fisher:

"One guest asked about the problem of too-big-to-fail banks and the arguments made by Mr. Volcker and Mr. Fisher. Mr. Dimon responded that he had just two words to describe them: “infantile” and “nonfactual.” He went on to lambaste Mr. Fisher further, according to the attendee. Some in the room were taken aback by the comments. Neither Mr. Fisher nor Mr. Volcker would comment on the remarks. But it appears to have been a classic performance from Mr. Dimon. In-your-face. Pugnacious. My way or the highway."

Over at the PIRG-backed Americans for Financial Reform, policy director Marcus Stanley explains the debacle in a long blog post. Marcus makes many important points, but a key one is this:

"...instead of trying to raise returns by seeking out real economy lending opportunities, JP Morgan instead tried to increase its return by trading derivatives on synthetic credit default swap indexes – pure paper speculation. To make things worse, because it was hoodwinked by its own mathematical models (JP Morgan now admits its VAR model was ‘inadequate’) the bank apparently did not even understand that this speculation involved risks at least as great as it would have incurred had it made real economy investments."

Over at his Huffpo blog, professor Simon Johnson explains that "The lessons from JP Morgan's losses are simple. Such banks have become too large and complex for management to control what is going on. The breakdown in internal governance is profound." Professor Nouriel Roubini has making the point for years, as in this HuffPo video, that the big banks are too big to manage. Thomas Hoenig, a Republican and former head of the Kansas City Fed and newly-confirmed as a member of the FDIC board, has also campaigned to break up the big banks. This Reuters story explains the SAFE Act to limit the size and leverage (translates to "risk") of big banks, as recently introduced by Senator Sherrod Brown (OH) and others, which is discussed in the Simon Johnson blog link above and in this support letter from the PIRG-backed AFR.

And as I told US News and World Report about the Chase debacle, "Hopefully it will give the Federal Reserve the spine that it lacks to implement a strong Volcker rule." Here is a link to the AFR, AFL-CIO, U.S. PIRG comment to regulators on the proposed Volcker rule, which the regulators have hemmed and hawed about implementing. Senator Carl Levin (MI), with Sen. Jeff Merkley (OR) one of the authors of the Volcker rule, is not impressed. Also, here is a link to the latest letter from AFR, U.S. PIRG, state PIRGs and 50 others opposing cuts sought by House reform opponents to the budget of the tiny CFTC. So far, the Senate has rejected their industry-backed proposals.

Finally, at an AFR seminar last week, CFTC commissioner Bart Chilton had some choice words, as quoted by Bloomberg:

“They want us to write off the 2008 financial crisis as an aberration and ignore countless reputable scholars who’ve found that the costs of opaque, unregulated derivatives markets are borne by the public,” Chilton said in remarks prepared for an event today in Washington held by policy groups including Americans for Financial Reform. “There is more trash talk and more action regarding litigation related to financial regulation than ever before.” The court challenges based on cost-benefit analysis are part of a “D.C. Quadrikill” strategy of confronting regulations: “1. kill the bill; 2. defund it; 3. regulate it; and, 4. litigate it.”

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I {looked|checked} {on the internet|on the web|on the net}
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and found {most individuals|most people} will go along with your views on {this website|this site|this web site}.
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I {simply|just} {could not|couldn't} {leave|depart|go away} your {site|web site|website} {prior to|before} suggesting that I {really|extremely|actually} {enjoyed|loved} {the standard|the usual} {information|info} {a person|an individual} {supply|provide} {for your|on your|in your|to your} {visitors|guests}? Is {going to|gonna} be {back|again} {frequently|regularly|incessantly|steadily|ceaselessly|often|continuously} {in order to|to} {check up on|check out|inspect|investigate cross-check} new posts|
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{Hi|Hello|Hi there|What's up}, just wanted to {mention|say|tell you}, I {enjoyed|liked|loved} this {article|post|blog post}. It was {inspiring|funny|practical|helpful}. Keep on posting!|
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your {twitter feed, Facebook page or linkedin profile|linkedin profile, Facebook
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{Hi there|Hello}, I enjoy reading {all of|through} your {article|post|article post}.
I {like|wanted} to write a little comment to support you.|
I {always|constantly|every time} spent my half an hour to read this {blog|weblog|webpage|website|web site}'s {articles|posts|articles or reviews|content} {everyday|daily|every day|all the time} along with a {cup|mug} of coffee.|
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My {coder|programmer|developer} is trying to {persuade|convince} me to move to .net from PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the {expenses|costs}. But he's tryiong none the less.
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{Other than that|Apart from that|Besides that|Aside from that}, {fantastic|wonderful|great|excellent} {blog|website|site}!

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{I am|I'm} {extremely|really} impressed with your writing skills {and also|as well as} with the
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{Is this|Is that this} a paid {subject|topic|subject matter|theme} or
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{Hi|Hello}, Neat post. {There is|There's} {a problem|an issue} {with your|together with your|along with your} {site|web
site|website} in {internet|web} explorer, {may|might|could|would} {check|test} this?
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your {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} writing {due to|because of} this
problem.|
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but {good|great} topic. I needs to spend some time learning {more|much
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and bloggers made good content as you did, the {internet|net|web} will be {much more|a
lot more} useful than ever before.|
I {couldn't|could not} {resist|refrain from} commenting. {Very well|Perfectly|Well|Exceptionally well} written!|
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your {rss|rss feed} as I {can not|can't} {in finding|find|to find} your {email|e-mail} subscription {link|hyperlink} or {newsletter|e-newsletter} service. Do {you have|you've}
any? {Please|Kindly} {allow|permit|let} me {realize|recognize|understand|recognise|know} {so that|in order that}
I {may just|may|could} subscribe. Thanks.|
{It is|It's} {appropriate|perfect|the best} time to make some plans for the future and {it is|it's} time
to be happy. {I have|I've} read this post and if I could I {want to|wish to|desire to} suggest you {few|some} interesting things or {advice|suggestions|tips}. {Perhaps|Maybe} you {could|can} write next articles referring to this article. I {want to|wish to|desire to} read {more|even more} things about it!|
{It is|It's} {appropriate|perfect|the best} time to make {a few|some} plans for {the future|the longer term|the
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and if I {may just|may|could} I {want to|wish to|desire to}
{suggest|recommend|counsel} you {few|some} {interesting|fascinating|attention-grabbing} {things|issues}
or {advice|suggestions|tips}. {Perhaps|Maybe} you {could|can} write {next|subsequent} articles {relating to|referring to|regarding} this
article. I {want to|wish to|desire to} {read|learn} {more|even more} {things|issues} {approximately|about} it!
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{I have|I've} been {surfing|browsing} {online|on-line} {more than|greater than} {three|3} hours {these days|nowadays|today|lately|as of late}, {yet|but} I {never|by no means} {found|discovered} any {interesting|fascinating|attention-grabbing} article like yours. {It's|It is} {lovely|pretty|beautiful} {worth|value|price} {enough|sufficient} for me.
{In my opinion|Personally|In my view}, if all {webmasters|site owners|website owners|web
owners} and bloggers made {just right|good|excellent} {content|content material} as {you did|you probably did}, the {internet|net|web} {will be|shall be|might
be|will probably be|can be|will likely be} {much more|a lot more} {useful|helpful}
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so {now|at this time} me also commenting {here|at
this place}.|
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the internet {users|people|viewers|visitors}, its really really {nice|pleasant|good|fastidious} {article|post|piece of writing|paragraph} on building up new {blog|weblog|webpage|website|web site}.
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great} {blog|website|web site|site}. I stumbledupon it ;) {I will|I am going to|I'm going to|I may} {come back|return|revisit} {once again|yet again} {since I|since i have} {bookmarked|book marked|book-marked|saved as a favorite} it. Money and freedom {is the best|is the greatest} way to change, may you be rich and continue to {help|guide} {other people|others}.|
Woah! I'm really {loving|enjoying|digging} the template/theme of
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difficult|challenging|tough|difficult|hard} to get that "perfect balance" between {superb usability|user friendliness|usability} and {visual appearance|visual appeal|appearance}.
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These are {really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {great|enormous|impressive|wonderful|fantastic} ideas in {regarding|concerning|about|on the topic of} blogging.
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which blog platform you're {working with|using}? I'm {looking|planning|going}
to start my own blog {in the near future|soon} but I'm having a {tough|difficult|hard} time {making a decision|selecting|choosing|deciding} between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal. The reason I ask is because your {design and style|design|layout} seems different then most blogs and I'm
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good work|stick with it}!|
Thank you for the {auspicious|good} writeup. It in fact was a amusement account it.
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I'm not sure if this is a {format|formatting} issue or something to do with {web browser|internet browser|browser} compatibility but I {thought|figured} I'd post to let you know.
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find out any {topic|matter} on {net|web} as compared to {books|textbooks}, as I found this {article|post|piece of writing|paragraph} at this {website|web site|site|web page}.
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to take a look when I get home. I'm {shocked|amazed|surprised} at how {quick|fast} your blog loaded on my {mobile|cell phone|phone} .. I'm not even using WIFI, just 3G .
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You {seem|appear} {to understand|to know|to grasp} {so much|a lot} {approximately|about} this, {like you|such as
you} wrote the {book|e-book|guide|ebook|e book} in
it or something. {I think|I feel|I believe} {that you|that you simply|that you just} {could|can}
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the message {house|home} {a bit|a little bit}, {however|but} {other than|instead of} that,
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{Hi|Hello|Hi there|What's up}, just wanted to {mention|say|tell you}, I {enjoyed|liked|loved} this {article|post|blog post}. It was {inspiring|funny|practical|helpful}. Keep on posting!|
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of {your|all your} {social|communal|community|public|shared} {pages|sites} like your {twitter feed, Facebook page or linkedin profile|linkedin profile, Facebook
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the less. I've been using {Movable-type|WordPress} on {a number of|a variety of|numerous|several|various} websites for about a year and am {nervous|anxious|worried|concerned} about switching to another platform. I have heard {fantastic|very good|excellent|great|good} things about blogengine.net. Is there a way I can {transfer|import} all my wordpress {content|posts} into it? {Any kind of|Any} help would be {really|greatly} appreciated!|
{Hello|Hi|Hello there|Hi there|Howdy|Good day}! I could have sworn I've {been to|visited} {this blog|this web site|this
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{Hi|Hello}, Neat post. {There is|There's} {a problem|an issue}
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in {internet|web} explorer, {may|might|could|would} {check|test} this?
IE {still|nonetheless} is the {marketplace|market} {leader|chief} and
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is} pretty worth enough for me. {In my opinion|Personally|In my view}, if all {webmasters|site owners|website
owners|web owners} and bloggers made good content as
you did, the {internet|net|web} will be {much more|a lot more} useful than
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I {couldn't|could not} {resist|refrain from} commenting. {Very well|Perfectly|Well|Exceptionally well} written!|
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I {may just|may|could} I {want to|wish to|desire to}
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or {advice|suggestions|tips}. {Perhaps|Maybe} you {could|can} write {next|subsequent} articles {relating to|referring to|regarding} this article.

I {want to|wish to|desire to} {read|learn} {more|even more} {things|issues}
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{I have|I've} been {surfing|browsing} {online|on-line} {more than|greater than} {three|3} hours {these days|nowadays|today|lately|as of late}, {yet|but} I {never|by no means} {found|discovered} any {interesting|fascinating|attention-grabbing} article like yours. {It's|It is} {lovely|pretty|beautiful} {worth|value|price} {enough|sufficient} for
me. {In my opinion|Personally|In my view}, if
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bloggers made {just right|good|excellent} {content|content
material} as {you did|you probably did}, the {internet|net|web} {will be|shall be|might be|will probably be|can
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Ahaa, its {nice|pleasant|good|fastidious} {discussion|conversation|dialogue} {regarding|concerning|about|on the
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Woah! I'm really {loving|enjoying|digging} the template/theme
of this {site|website|blog}. It's simple, yet effective. A lot of times it's {very hard|very difficult|challenging|tough|difficult|hard} to get that "perfect balance" between {superb usability|user friendliness|usability} and {visual appearance|visual appeal|appearance}.
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this. {In addition|Additionally|Also}, the blog loads {very|extremely|super} {fast|quick} for me on {Safari|Internet explorer|Chrome|Opera|Firefox}.
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These are {really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {great|enormous|impressive|wonderful|fantastic} ideas in {regarding|concerning|about|on the topic of} blogging.
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to be} up too. {This sort of|This type of|Such|This kind of} clever work and {exposure|coverage|reporting}!
Keep up the {superb|terrific|very good|great|good|awesome|fantastic|excellent|amazing|wonderful} works guys I've {incorporated||added|included} you guys to {|my|our||my personal|my own} blogroll.|
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I'm {book-marking|bookmarking} and will be tweeting this to my followers! {Terrific|Wonderful|Great|Fantastic|Outstanding|Exceptional|Superb|Excellent} blog and {wonderful|terrific|brilliant|amazing|great|excellent|fantastic|outstanding|superb} {style and design|design and style|design}.|
{I love|I really like|I enjoy|I like|Everyone loves} what you guys {are|are usually|tend to be} up too. {This sort of|This type of|Such|This kind of} clever work and {exposure|coverage|reporting}! Keep up the {superb|terrific|very good|great|good|awesome|fantastic|excellent|amazing|wonderful} works guys I've {incorporated|added|included}
you guys to {|my|our|my personal|my own} blogroll.
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platform you're {working with|using}? I'm {looking|planning|going} to start my own blog {in the near future|soon} but
I'm having a {tough|difficult|hard} time {making a decision|selecting|choosing|deciding} between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal. The reason I ask is because your {design and style|design|layout} seems different then most blogs and I'm looking for something
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I'm {bored to tears|bored to death|bored} at work so I decided to {check out|browse} your {site|website|blog} on my iphone during lunch break. I {enjoy|really like|love} the {knowledge|info|information} you {present|provide} here and can't wait to take a look when
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I visited {multiple|many|several|various} {websites|sites|web sites|web pages|blogs} {but|except|however} the audio {quality|feature} for audio songs {current|present|existing} at this {website|web site|site|web page} is {really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {marvelous|wonderful|excellent|fabulous|superb}.|
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Greetings! {Very helpful|Very useful} advice {within
this|in this particular} {article|post}! {It is the|It's the} little changes {that make|which will make|that produce|that will make} {the biggest|the largest|the greatest|the most important|the most significant} changes. {Thanks a lot|Thanks|Many thanks} for sharing!|
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where you got this from or {what the|exactly what
the|just what the} theme {is called|is named}. {Thanks|Many thanks|Thank you|Cheers|Appreciate it|Kudos}!
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am going to|I most certainly will} {forward|send} {this article|this
information|this post} to him. {Pretty sure|Fairly certain} {he
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It's on a {completely|entirely|totally} different {topic|subject} but it has pretty much the same {layout|page layout} and design. {Excellent|Wonderful|Great|Outstanding|Superb} choice of colors!|
{There is|There's} {definately|certainly} {a lot to|a great deal to} {know
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{You made|You've made|You have made} some {decent|good|really good} points there.

I {looked|checked} {on the internet|on the web|on the net}
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found {most individuals|most people} will go along with
your views on {this website|this site|this web site}.
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{Hi|Hello|Hi there|What's up}, just wanted to {mention|say|tell you}, I {enjoyed|liked|loved} this {article|post|blog post}. It was {inspiring|funny|practical|helpful}. Keep on posting!|
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{pages|sites} like your {twitter feed, Facebook page
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|
{Hi there|Hello}, I enjoy reading {all of|through}
your {article|post|article post}. I {like|wanted}
to write a little comment to support you.|
I {always|constantly|every time} spent my half an hour to read this {blog|weblog|webpage|website|web site}'s {articles|posts|articles or reviews|content} {everyday|daily|every day|all the time} along with a {cup|mug} of coffee.|
I {always|for all time|all the time|constantly|every time} emailed this {blog|weblog|webpage|website|web site} post page to all my {friends|associates|contacts}, {because|since|as|for the reason that} if like to read it {then|after that|next|afterward} my {friends|links|contacts} will too.|
My {coder|programmer|developer} is trying to {persuade|convince} me to move to .net from PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the {expenses|costs}. But he's tryiong none the less.
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{Hello|Hi|Hello there|Hi there|Howdy|Good day}! I could have sworn I've {been to|visited} {this blog|this web site|this website|this
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{Hi|Hello|Hi there|Hello there|Howdy|Greetings}, {I think|I believe|I do
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{I just|I simply|I merely} wanted to {give you a|provide you with
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{A person|Someone|Somebody} {necessarily|essentially} {lend a hand|help|assist} to make {seriously|critically|significantly|severely} {articles|posts}
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{I will be|I'll be|I am} {coming back to|returning to} {your blog|your site|your website|your web site} for more soon.|
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{I am|I'm} {extremely|really} impressed with your writing skills {and also|as well as} with the layout on your {blog|weblog}.
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{I am|I'm} {extremely|really} {inspired|impressed} {with your|together
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{Hi|Hello}, Neat post. {There is|There's} {a problem|an issue} {with your|together with your|along with your} {site|web site|website} in {internet|web} explorer, {may|might|could|would} {check|test} this?
IE {still|nonetheless} is the {marketplace|market} {leader|chief} and {a large|a
good|a big|a huge} {part of|section of|component to|portion of|component of|element of} {other folks|folks|other people|people} will {leave out|omit|miss|pass over}
your {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} writing {due to|because of} this problem.
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{I'm|I am} not sure where {you are|you're} getting your {info|information},
but {good|great} topic. I needs to spend some time learning {more|much
more} or understanding more. Thanks for {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} {information|info} I was
looking for this {information|info} for my mission.
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